Lithuania: Migrants influence the dynamics of HIV infection

HIV in Lithuania: migrants from Ukraine and Eastern Europe are changing the epidemiological picture.
More than a third of new HIV cases in Lithuania are from foreigners. Most of them are from Ukraine and other countries of Eastern Europe. These statistics reflect not only the migration processes caused by war and economic difficulties, but also indicate the continuing problem of the spread of HIV in the region, which Europe considered almost under control.
According to the National Center for Public Health of Lithuania, the country has seen an increase in the incidence of HIV since 2022. In the center, he is associated with the influx of infected foreign citizens.
Statistics for 2024 indicate that almost 90% of infected foreigners came to Lithuania from Eastern Europe - Ukraine, Belarus, Azerbaijan, Georgia and Moldova.
Angela Moiseenko, head of the Chernihiv branch of the charitable organization "All-Ukrainian Network of People Living with HIV/AIDS", told LRT.lt about how the situation with HIV is developing, and how the system of detection and treatment of infection works in the conditions of military conflict.
"Ukraine occupies one of the leading places in the spread of HIV in Eastern Europe. More only in Russia and Kazakhstan," she says.
Nevertheless, in recent years, systematic work has been built in Ukraine to combat the epidemic, especially in terms of identifying new cases. "Over the past 10 years, a lot of attention has been paid to this topic in Ukraine. We are actively engaged in HIV detection, because what we see is only the tip of the iceberg. The more tests are carried out, the better we know the real situation," Moiseenko explains.
The system covers both state institutions and initiatives supported by international partners. The country has the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria, which funds large-scale HIV testing and prevention programs. Too, both state and public organizations participate in this process.
"We actively use rapid tests that allow us to determine the presence or absence of antibodies within 20-30 minutes. Our organization has been working in the field of overcoming HIV infection for 20 years, and we are also actively engaged in identifying, referring for treatment and accompanying people," the expert says.
The health care system in Ukraine is built on a three-level model: primary care - family doctors, secondary - polyclinics and hospitals, as well as tertiary - specialized institutions. At the second level, there is a network of "trust offices" that provide HIV treatment services.
"There are such offices in almost all second-level hospitals. Funding goes through the National Health Service of Ukraine, which pays for medical services under the so-called packages. For example, an HIV test is included in 11 medical care packages at once," Moiseenko explains.
She also notes that in Ukraine the problem is approached systematically, including prevention and mandatory examination of victims of violence: "If violence has occurred, the injured party will necessarily be examined for HIV. This is part of the standard of medical care."
The military context leaves its mark. In a number of regions, especially those affected by hostilities, the HIV situation has traditionally been more difficult. "Those regions that are now occupied or affected, for example, Donetsk, the level of the problem there is really higher," Moiseenko emphasizes.
After 2014, international programs stopped working in uncontrolled territories, which aggravated the situation. At the same time, the state provides 100% access to antiretroviral therapy in the controlled territory.
"If a person takes therapy for six months, he is no longer a source of infection for other people," the interlocutor reminds.
Today, the main route of HIV transmission is sexual: from 70% to 76% of new cases depending on the region. Harm reduction programs, such as syringe exchange and replacement therapy, continue to work, but the focus is shifting to sexual transmission.
"The drug scene has changed. Now this is no longer the main way of transmission. Therefore, we are paying more and more attention to other vulnerable groups," Moiseenko says.
The COVID-19 pandemic has seriously affected the situation - the number of visits to doctors has decreased, which has worsened the detection of HIV. "Because of covid, medical institutions began to be perceived as dangerous, and people began to turn less to doctors. We observe a worsening situation in all chronic diseases. People don't come in time," the expert explains.
With the beginning of the full-scale invasion, the motivation to take care of health fell even more. "Attention to one's own health has been set back to the second, third and some kind of plan, because on the first one is survival," Moiseenko states.
As a result, patients with already severe stages of the disease are increasingly found among the newly identified cases. "If we take those whom we have identified, 50% is the third and fourth stages. These are people who have been infected for a long time, but they did not apply for treatment in time. This means that we are under-detecting," the expert says.
An important task was to provide therapy for people forced to leave Ukraine. "Those who left were provided with therapy for three months, for six months - depending on the situation. A lot of people left for Poland, and our country transferred drugs already purchased for Ukrainian citizens there. They were transferred to Poland to provide our patients, because there are other treatment regimens there," Moiseenko says.
Most Ukrainians who are abroad receive treatment on the spot. "We have oriented all our clients to contact doctors in the host countries. According to our data, everyone who left and stayed abroad receives therapy," the interlocutor says.
Exceptions are single cases. "There are people to whom we send parcels, but there are less than one percent of them. These are, as a rule, those who live in small settlements, fear for confidentiality or self-stigmatize," she continues.
According to Angela Moiseenko, the topic of HIV, compared to Ukraine, receives much less attention in Latvia. "Our organization actively cooperates with Latvia. According to my personal observations, very little attention is paid to this issue there, especially when compared with Ukraine. And even before the war, many Russians and Ukrainians came there, including HIV-positive people," says A. Moiseenko.
The expert emphasizes the importance of HIV detection among IDPs. In the Ukrainian system, when registering, a person immediately receives information about available medical and social services: "When internally displaced persons arrive to us, they immediately register, receive a certificate and information about what they are entitled to. The medical examination is included in this list. And the locals - it's how it turns out: he came - good, he didn't come - no one is looking for him."
The level of detection among immigrants may be higher, because they are more often in the field of view of the system. "These are the same people, it's just that they used to live in other territories. But they immediately get to social workers and get the full list of available services," she says.
At the same time, Moiseenko notes the difference between the waves of resettlement: "More socialized and wealthy people left first. Now those who stayed until the last are being resettled. These are mostly marginalized groups that didn't really care about themselves before the war."
The expert also emphasizes that today the main problem is a decrease in motivation to undergo testing.
"People don't want to be tested. At the same time, 50% of new cases are already late stages. This means that we do not see the real number of infected people," warns A. Moiseenko.
Migrants influence the dynamics of HIV infection in Lithuania
According to the National Center for Public Health, in 2024 the HIV incidence rate in Lithuania was 6.8 cases per 100,000 inhabitants, which is 1.4 times less than in 2023.
The increase in morbidity began in 2022 and was associated with the influx of foreign citizens infected with HIV. Before that, the incidence rate corresponded to the average for the European Union.
Nevertheless, the proportion of foreigners among new cases is gradually decreasing:
- in 2022 they were 47%;
- in 2023 - 37%;
- in 2024 - 34%;
For comparison, the EU average is about 50%.
In 2024, among registered foreign citizens with HIV, 86.8% came from Eastern European countries - Ukraine, Belarus, Azerbaijan, Georgia and Moldova. This trend has been maintained since 2022.
More than 80% of these patients receive antiretroviral therapy, which indicates an understanding of the importance of treatment and prevention.
Of the 68 foreign citizens identified with HIV in 2024, 59% are men and 41% are women. The main ways of infection:
- 46% - heterosexual contacts;
- 22% - homosexual contacts;
- 4% - injecting drugs;
- 31% - unknown ways;
- 3% - perinatal (from mother at birth).
The age of 37% of infected foreigners is from 40 to 49 years old, and 24% are from 30 to 39.
Recommendations for HIV testing, approved by the order of the Minister of Health of Lithuania. They provide in which cases - in certain epidemiological or clinical conditions - it is recommended to conduct HIV testing. The doctor, having received information from the patient and evaluated it, should offer to conduct testing.